China Projected To Hit Peak Carbon Emissions In 2023, Adds Record Renewable Energy Capacity
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- China has hit its peak level of fossil fuel output in 2023.
- According to a report released Monday morning from the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air CREA a nonprofit think tank based in Helsinki.
- For the first time, the rate of low-carbon energy expansion is now sufficient to not only meet.
- But exceed the average annual increase in China’s demand for electricity overall, Lauri Myllyvirta, analyst, said in CREA’s report.
- CREA estimated that newly installed renewable energy capacity in 2023 will outpace increased power demand for the first time.
- The organization predicts a decline in carbon emissions for 2024 as new electricity demand will be fulfilled with renewable energy sources.
- China’s newly installed renewable energy in china capacity in 2023 is expected to reach 290 gigawatts according to CREA, nearly doubling 2022’s figure of 152 gigawatts.
- The majority of new capacity installed, or 72%, was solar energy, while offshore and onshore wind accounted for 24%.
- The remaining 4% in new installations came from hydroelectric and nuclear power.
- China is the global leader in total solar energy installation.
- The country aims to source 15% of its electrical generation from non-hydroelectric renewable sources by 2025, a goal which Fitch Ratings predicts will be met.
- Though the report details a tipping point in China’s quest towards net-zero, it still found that overall carbon emissions in the third quarter of 2023 rose by 4.7% relative to the same period of 2022.
- Myllyvirta attributed the uptick in year-over-year emissions to the end of China’s zero Covid policy, which was abruptly terminated in January 2023 after nearly three years in effect.
- The East Asian nation had previously committed to reaching maximum carbon emission output before 2030, and achieving full carbon neutrality by 2060.
- The country still relied on coal-fired power plants for over 50% of its total electrical output in 2020, according to the International Energy Agency.
- CREA describes China’s coming state of carbon emission reduction as a structural decline, brought about not only by unprecedented investment in renewable energy capacity.
- But also by stagnating population growth and consumption.
- With China’s population projected to decline throughout the remainder of the 21st century in the absence of mass immigration.
- Experts expect new installations of renewable energy facilities to outpace the growth in China’s overall energy demand, and take on a growing share of the Chinese electricity market.
- The 2023 UN Climate Change Conference will be held from November 30-September 12 in Dubai.
- China’s contributions to both global renewable energy capacity and global carbon emissions are likely to be a focal point at the event.